Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | โ |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | โ |
| Margin | 1.8% | 98.2% | +22.1 | โ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | โ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | โ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | โ |
| Points Off/Def | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | โ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +13 (63-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Nwaba * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 27 | - |
| Brian Bennett * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Joel Awich * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Maliik Love * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Ridge Shipley | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Reese Morgan | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Anthony Silvestri | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Aleks Abrams | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Michael Bolden | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Pangos * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| G. Bell Jr. * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Przemek Karnowski * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 27 | - |
| Kyle Wiltjer * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Byron Wesley * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Domantas Sabonis | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Kyle Dranginis | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Silas Melson | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter