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2014-12-20

Model Predictions

Model Cal Poly Mustangs Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 3.0% 97.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 5.7% 94.3% - โœ“
Margin 1.8% 98.2% +22.1 โœ“ (9.1 off)
Pythagorean 29.6% 70.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 12.6% 87.4% - โœ“

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +13 (63-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
David Nwaba * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 4 1 4 21 27 -
Brian Bennett * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 3 9 12 -
Joel Awich * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 3 6 -
Maliik Love * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 0 -2 -
Ridge Shipley 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 5 6 -
Reese Morgan 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 7 12 -
Anthony Silvestri 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 5 -
Aleks Abrams 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
Michael Bolden 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Pangos * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 16 16 -
G. Bell Jr. * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 1 1 6 11 -
Przemek Karnowski * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 1 0 16 27 -
Kyle Wiltjer * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 8 9 -
Byron Wesley * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 4 8 10 -
Domantas Sabonis 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 1 3 4 10 -
Kyle Dranginis 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 2 0 4 3 7 -
Silas Melson 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 5 -

* = starter