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2014-11-15

Model Predictions

Model Cal Poly Mustangs Nevada Wolf Pack Spread Result
Elo 9.1% 90.9% -
Bradley-Terry 14.5% 85.5% -
Margin 2.3% 97.7% +20.7 (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +16 (65-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Love * 31 2-7 0-0 0-2 8 6 1 0 1 4 11 -
D. Nwaba * 26 3-7 0-0 5-8 4 1 1 0 1 11 9 -
J. Awich * 22 2-7 1-4 0-0 3 1 0 2 2 5 2 -
M. Bolden * 18 0-2 0-2 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Abrams * 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
B. Bennett 28 4-10 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 2 0 9 8 -
R. Morgan 24 4-11 2-6 3-4 7 1 0 1 0 13 11 -
A. Silvestri 11 1-6 1-6 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 -3 -
A. Ganis 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Fenner * 32 5-12 1-4 1-2 6 1 0 0 0 12 7 -
M. Perez * 32 4-10 2-5 0-0 7 2 1 0 0 10 10 -
M. Coleman * 31 3-11 0-3 5-6 1 2 0 0 2 11 1 -
A. West * 28 1-6 0-0 4-6 8 0 0 6 1 6 13 -
K. Rodriguez * 24 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
R. Stevens Jr. 14 2-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 5 6 -
E. Cooper Jr. 14 2-4 1-2 2-3 4 1 1 0 0 7 9 -
T. Criswell 11 3-5 1-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 8 5 -
L. Stivrins 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
R. Missa 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Foster 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter