Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.3% | 97.7% | +20.7 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +16 (65-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Love * | 31 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| D. Nwaba * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| J. Awich * | 22 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| M. Bolden * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Abrams * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Bennett | 28 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| R. Morgan | 24 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| A. Silvestri | 11 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | - |
| A. Ganis | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Fenner * | 32 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| M. Perez * | 32 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| M. Coleman * | 31 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | - |
| A. West * | 28 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| K. Rodriguez * | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| R. Stevens Jr. | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| E. Cooper Jr. | 14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| T. Criswell | 11 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| L. Stivrins | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Missa | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Foster | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter