Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Santa Clara Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.6% | 58.4% | +1.9 | ✗ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Santa Clara Broncos -11 (58-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Awich * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 20 | - |
| David Nwaba * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Brian Bennett * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Maliik Love * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Ridge Shipley | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Michael Bolden | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Reese Morgan | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Aleks Abrams | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - |
| Anthony Silvestri | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Santa Clara Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Brownridge * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 27 | - |
| Denzel Johnson * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Brandon Clark * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Matt Hubbard * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Jarvis Pugh * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Nate Kratch | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Kai Healy | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Evan Wardlow | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jalen Richard | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter