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Arkansas State Red Wolves

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Also known as: Arkansas State Red Wolves
Program History
Coach: Ryan Pannone

2010 Team Stats (1 games)

69.0
PPG
67.0
Opp
+2.0
Margin
46.3%
FG%
30.8%
3P%
75.0%
FT%
30.0
RPG
9.0
APG
12.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
64.8
Adj PPG
66.5
Adj Opp PPG
#198
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2009-2010
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 953 (#195) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 980 (#193) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +96 elo More → 993 (#173) HCA +96 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More → -2.0 (#199) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -1.3 (#192) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.533 (#151) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -2.4 More → 0.431 (#191) AdjNet -2.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -2.4 More → 0.430 (#191) AdjNet -2.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.8 | AdjD 66.5 More → 0.460 (#198) AdjO 64.8 | AdjD 66.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 65.8 More → 0.503 (#169) AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 65.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.458 (#195) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.467 (#191) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 147 | GP 28 More → 981 (#189) RD 147 | GP 28

2010 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2009-11-16 vs MacMurray College Highlanders W 93 - 47
2009-11-18 @ Southeast Missouri State Redhawks W 73 - 49
2009-11-21 @ UTEP Miners L 56 - 82
2009-11-25 vs UT Martin Skyhawks W 80 - 66
2009-11-29 vs Indiana State Sycamores L 72 - 77
2009-12-02 vs Ole Miss Rebels L 57 - 79
2009-12-05 @ Memphis Tigers L 55 - 74
2009-12-12 vs Missouri State Bears L 64 - 75
2009-12-20 vs Little Rock Trojans W 69 - 61
2009-12-22 @ Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils W 71 - 64
2009-12-29 vs Central Baptist College Mustangs W 98 - 60
2009-12-31 @ Denver Pioneers L 55 - 64
2010-01-02 vs North Texas Mean Green W 71 - 56
2010-01-04 @ Lamar Cardinals L 68 - 87
2010-01-07 vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders W 69 - 67
2010-01-09 @ South Alabama Jaguars W 69 - 63
2010-01-16 @ North Texas Mean Green W 83 - 70
2010-01-21 @ Florida International Panthers W 76 - 61
2010-01-23 @ Florida Atlantic Owls L 63 - 78
2010-01-28 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 62 - 60
2010-01-30 vs Denver Pioneers W 73 - 62
2010-02-04 @ Little Rock Trojans L 77 - 79
2010-02-06 @ New Orleans Privateers W 66 - 52
2010-02-15 vs UL Monroe Warhawks W 69 - 52
2010-02-18 @ Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns L 54 - 56
2010-02-20 vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers L 76 - 78
2010-02-25 vs New Orleans Privateers W 63 - 56
2010-02-27 vs Troy Trojans L 57 - 64
2010-03-06 vs Little Rock Trojans W 89 - 82
2010-03-07 @ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers L 64 - 65

2010 Roster

No roster data available for this season.