Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Lamar Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.4% | 46.6% | -0.8 | ✗ (19.8 off) |
Actual: Lamar Cardinals +19 (87-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Allison | 36 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| T. Finn | 34 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| B. Reed | 32 | 3-15 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -1 | - |
| B. Peterson | 26 | 9-16 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 16 | - |
| J. Thomas | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Sterrenberg | 19 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| M. Adams | 17 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| J. Butler | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Lamar Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Harris | 36 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 18 | - |
| C. Harper | 35 | 10-15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 18 | - |
| A. Miles | 24 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Nabors | 23 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 20 | - |
| D. Minor | 20 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| C. Custer | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| L. Nwevo | 16 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| S. Brown | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Carter | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Lopez | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Mathis | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| E.B. Davis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter