Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.0% | 62.0% | +2.7 | ✗ (9.7 off) |
| Efficiency | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves -7 (57-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Vogler | 40 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 14 | - |
| R. Delk | 37 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| B. Hazzard | 33 | 5-14 | 4-9 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Y. Coleman | 30 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| V. Taylor | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| L. Patsatsia | 16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| A. Jones | 15 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| B. Toombs | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Reed | 39 | 2-16 | 1-10 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -4 | - |
| R. Allison | 37 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Adams | 29 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 21 | - |
| T. Finn | 25 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| B. Peterson | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| D. Bryant | 18 | 6-15 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 5 | - |
| J. Brown | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Thomas | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter