Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana State Sycamores | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.6% | 46.4% | -0.8 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Efficiency | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves -5 (72-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Marshall | 33 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| J. Kelly | 32 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| R. Reed | 29 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | - |
| B. Leitnaker | 26 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| C. Richard | 26 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| D. Lathan | 20 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Crawford | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| J. Printy | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| K. Doluony | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| A. Carter | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Allison | 32 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| T. Finn | 32 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| B. Reed | 27 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| D. Bryant | 26 | 8-18 | 3-10 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 8 | - |
| M. Adams | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| J. Brown | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Butler | 16 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| B. Peterson | 13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Thomas | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Lance | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter