Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Pioneers | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.4% | 69.6% | +4.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Efficiency | 79.4% | 20.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +11 (73-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Pioneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Stafford | 38 | 6-13 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | - |
| N. Rohnert | 35 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| C. Hallam | 33 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| T. Hallam | 22 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Lewis | 21 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| J. Coughlin | 18 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| A. Hooper | 16 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| S. Chen | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Lewis | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Thalken | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Allison | 37 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| B. Reed | 37 | 12-23 | 4-9 | 6-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 34 | 15 | - |
| T. Finn | 33 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| M. Adams | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 8 | - |
| B. Peterson | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Brown | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| J. Thomas | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Sterrenberg | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter