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2009-12-02

Model Predictions

Model Ole Miss Rebels Arkansas State Red Wolves Spread Result
Elo 68.0% 32.0% -
Bradley-Terry 71.2% 28.8% -
Margin 77.6% 22.4% -6.8 (15.2 off)
Efficiency 60.7% 39.3% -

Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves -22 (57-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ole Miss Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Graham 33 5-8 4-5 3-6 1 4 1 0 2 17 13 -
C. Warren 32 4-9 2-4 3-3 3 2 2 0 3 13 8 -
T. White 25 7-13 1-4 4-5 5 2 0 1 1 19 13 -
R. Buckner 20 1-2 0-0 1-1 5 0 0 0 0 3 6 -
M. Holloway 20 4-8 0-0 1-4 13 0 2 0 1 9 15 -
T. Henry 19 4-4 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 9 6 -
D. Cranston 17 2-5 1-1 0-0 6 0 1 1 0 5 8 -
T. Gaskins 15 0-6 0-5 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 0 -4 -
E. Polynice 9 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 2 -1 -
D. Riley 5 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
W. Bogan 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
L. Nutt 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Finn 35 2-6 1-2 3-3 6 5 2 0 3 8 12 -
R. Allison 30 3-10 1-2 2-2 2 0 1 0 3 9 -1 -
B. Reed 22 2-5 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 2 -
J. Brown 21 1-6 0-0 4-5 1 0 0 0 2 6 -1 -
D. Bryant 20 3-10 2-7 0-1 1 0 2 0 2 8 -1 -
J. Butler 19 1-2 0-1 3-5 0 1 0 0 0 5 4 -
B. Peterson 18 2-3 0-1 1-3 6 0 0 2 1 5 9 -
M. Adams 17 3-8 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 8 4 -
M. Lance 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Thomas 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
A. Sterrenberg 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter