Model Predictions
| Model | Ole Miss Rebels | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.6% | 22.4% | -6.8 | ✓ (15.2 off) |
| Efficiency | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves -22 (57-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ole Miss Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Graham | 33 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 3-6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| C. Warren | 32 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| T. White | 25 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 13 | - |
| R. Buckner | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| M. Holloway | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| T. Henry | 19 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| D. Cranston | 17 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| T. Gaskins | 15 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| E. Polynice | 9 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| D. Riley | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| W. Bogan | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Nutt | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Finn | 35 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 12 | - |
| R. Allison | 30 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -1 | - |
| B. Reed | 22 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Brown | 21 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| D. Bryant | 20 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1 | - |
| J. Butler | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| B. Peterson | 18 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| M. Adams | 17 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| M. Lance | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Thomas | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Sterrenberg | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter