Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.1% | 34.9% | -3.4 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Efficiency | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves -11 (64-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Leonard | 34 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| J. Fuehrmeyer | 28 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 5 | - |
| K. Weems | 26 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 20 | - |
| W. Creekmore | 24 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 6-8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| J. Mallett | 22 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| K. Pickens | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| N. Ricks | 12 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| M. Porter | 10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Jehle | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Patterson | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| I. Rhine | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Jones | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Reed | 35 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 6 | - |
| T. Finn | 34 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| R. Allison | 31 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 6-8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| J. Brown | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| M. Adams | 24 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| D. Bryant | 22 | 6-14 | 2-9 | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 6 | - |
| J. Thomas | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| B. Peterson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter