Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.7% | 82.3% | +9.6 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.5% | 83.5% | +8.9 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +7 (89-82). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Bozeman | 39 | 3-13 | 2-7 | 9-10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 5 | - |
| A. Garcia-Mendoza | 34 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| K. Stewart | 32 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| L. Foster | 27 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| D. Bails | 24 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Courtney Jackson | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Montrell Thornton | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Mouzy | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| W. Burton | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| R. Davison | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| N. Cicic | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Allison | 41 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 13-13 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 17 | - |
| T. Finn | 39 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Brandon Reed | 35 | 4-17 | 1-7 | 9-12 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 8 | - |
| B. Peterson | 35 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 25 | - |
| J. Thomas | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| M. Adams | 20 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| D. Bryant | 16 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| JeJuan Brown | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Sterrenberg | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Justin Butler | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter