Model Predictions
| Model | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.6% | 34.4% | -3.5 | ✗ (5.5 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.3% | 98.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +2 (69-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Emanuel | 39 | 8-18 | 1-5 | 3-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 13 | - |
| D. Yates | 36 | 3-13 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0 | - |
| C. O'Neil | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Washington III | 26 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| M. Haddock | 23 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 9-9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 21 | - |
| J. Gallman | 16 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| D. Williams | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Sulton | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Ottley | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Finn | 38 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| R. Allison | 37 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 8 | - |
| B. Reed | 33 | 3-14 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| M. Adams | 31 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | - |
| B. Peterson | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7-12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| J. Thomas | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| A. Sterrenberg | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Butler | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
* = starter