Model Predictions
| Model | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.3% | 55.7% | +0.7 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.1% | 53.9% | +0.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +2 (69-67). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rod Emanuel * | 39 | 8-18 | 1-5 | 3-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Desmond Yates * | 36 | 3-13 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Calvin O'Neil * | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | - |
| James Washington III * | 26 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Montarrio Haddock * | 23 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 9-9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 21 | - |
| James Gallman | 16 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| DeMario Williams | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| JT Sulton | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Trevor Ottley | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Finn * | 38 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Rashad Allison * | 37 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Brandon Reed * | 33 | 3-14 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Martavius Adams * | 31 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Brandon Peterson * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7-12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Jeremy Thomas | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Adam Sterrenberg | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Justin Butler | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
* = starter