Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.8% | 62.2% | +2.7 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +8 (69-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Jackson | 36 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 19 | - |
| A. Garcia-Mendoza | 30 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| S. Bozeman | 27 | 2-11 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| M. Mouzy | 26 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | - |
| L. Foster | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
| M. Thornton | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| D. Bails | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | - |
| K. Stewart | 12 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| W. Burton | 11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| R. Davison | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Reed | 36 | 3-13 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | -2 | - |
| T. Finn | 33 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 7-9 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 19 | - |
| D. Bryant | 28 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 8 | - |
| M. Adams | 27 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | - |
| J. Brown | 25 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| R. Allison | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Thomas | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| B. Peterson | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter