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North Texas Mean Green 56
@
Arkansas State Red Wolves 71
2010-01-02

Model Predictions

Model North Texas Mean Green Arkansas State Red Wolves Spread Result
Elo 52.9% 47.1% -1.7 ✗ (16.7 off)
Bradley-Terry 61.2% 38.8% - ✗
Margin 42.0% 58.0% +1.8 ✓ (13.2 off)
Pythagorean 49.3% 50.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 51.6% 48.4% - ✗
Log Adjusted 51.5% 48.5% - ✗
Points Off/Def 46.3% 53.7% - ✓

Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +15 (71-56). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.

North Texas Mean Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh White 39 3-12 1-3 2-3 4 5 0 0 2 9 4 -
Tristan Thompson 35 5-14 1-5 7-8 5 2 1 0 3 18 9 -
G. Odufuwa 31 3-6 0-0 4-4 9 2 0 1 4 10 12 -
J. Holmen 24 3-7 1-3 1-1 3 0 0 0 1 8 3 -
S. Shorter 20 3-6 0-2 0-1 4 0 0 0 2 6 2 -
Alzee Williams 18 0-3 0-2 1-2 0 1 1 0 2 1 -2 -
C. Spencer 16 1-3 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 2 5 -
B. Knox 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 2 4 -
C. Mangrum 8 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Allison 38 5-7 1-2 1-2 4 6 2 1 2 12 16 -
Brandon Reed 38 10-19 3-6 2-3 4 2 2 0 4 25 10 -
T. Finn 33 3-8 2-2 0-0 6 1 2 0 1 8 8 -
M. Adams 32 8-12 0-0 0-0 8 2 0 0 0 16 14 -
B. Peterson 19 3-8 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 3 2 6 8 -
J. Thomas 18 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 1 1 2 3 -
A. Sterrenberg 11 0-1 0-1 2-4 0 2 0 0 0 2 3 -
Justin Butler 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 -

* = starter