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Arkansas State Red Wolves

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Also known as: Arkansas State Red Wolves
Program History
Coach: Ryan Pannone

2005 Team Stats (2 games)

79.5
PPG
77.5
Opp
+2.0
Margin
44.9%
FG%
50.0%
3P%
68.2%
FT%
41.0
RPG
15.5
APG
16.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
70.9
Adj PPG
70.4
Adj Opp PPG
#152
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2004-2005
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 970 (#187) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1023 (#143) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +110 elo More → 1010 (#144) HCA +110 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.7 More → +0.4 (#158) HCA +3.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.5 More → +0.9 (#148) HCA +3.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.527 (#143) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -0.6 More → 0.484 (#166) AdjNet -0.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -0.6 More → 0.483 (#167) AdjNet -0.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.9 | AdjD 70.4 More → 0.511 (#152) AdjO 70.9 | AdjD 70.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.6 | AdjD 69.1 More → 0.510 (#153) AdjO 69.6 | AdjD 69.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.502 (#160) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.502 (#158) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 150 | GP 26 More → 982 (#165) RD 150 | GP 26

2005 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2004-11-20 vs Centenary Louisiana Gentlemen W 80 - 69
2004-11-23 @ Memphis Tigers L 75 - 79
2004-11-27 vs Liberty Flames W 91 - 65
2004-12-01 vs Ole Miss Rebels W 70 - 68
2004-12-06 vs UT Martin Skyhawks W 92 - 65
2004-12-11 vs Lambuth Eagles W 113 - 70
2004-12-15 @ Georgia Southern Eagles L 70 - 85
2004-12-20 @ Sam Houston Bearkats L 74 - 77
2004-12-22 @ Pepperdine Waves L 82 - 91
2004-12-23 @ Hampton Pirates W 65 - 57
2004-12-28 @ Lamar Cardinals L 70 - 86
2005-01-03 vs Lyon College Scots W 79 - 57
2005-01-06 vs South Alabama Jaguars W 83 - 58
2005-01-08 vs Florida International Panthers W 60 - 55
2005-01-13 vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders L 68 - 70
2005-01-15 vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers W 94 - 90
2005-01-20 @ Denver Pioneers L 78 - 95
2005-01-22 @ North Texas Mean Green W 73 - 70
2005-01-27 @ Little Rock Trojans W 78 - 64
2005-01-29 vs South Dakota State Jackrabbits W 88 - 61
2005-02-03 @ New Orleans Privateers L 56 - 72
2005-02-05 @ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers L 72 - 76
2005-02-10 vs Little Rock Trojans L 67 - 73
2005-02-14 @ Florida International Panthers L 52 - 68
2005-02-17 @ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders L 60 - 80
2005-02-24 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 86 - 80
2005-02-26 vs New Mexico State Aggies W 90 - 76
2005-03-04 @ North Texas Mean Green W 84 - 76
2005-03-05 @ Denver Pioneers L 57 - 64

2005 Roster

No roster data available for this season.