Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Denver Pioneers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.7% | 18.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.2% | 58.8% | +1.9 | ✓ (15.1 off) |
| Efficiency | 95.9% | 4.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Pioneers +17 (95-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Spencer | 37 | 8-17 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 10 | - |
| J.J. Montgomery | 34 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 18 | - |
| I. Wells | 27 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2 | - |
| D. Tipler | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| K. Witherspoon | 18 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| J. Nichols | 18 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - |
| A. King-Holland | 17 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| K. Durham | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| T. Little | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| E. Sokolov | 3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Denver Pioneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Benzel | 36 | 6-9 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| R. Billups | 33 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13 | - |
| A. Carpenter | 31 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| A. Porch | 28 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Y. Nicholson | 28 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 26 | 32 | - |
| B. Seger | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| T. Gordon | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| S. Wetrich | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| J. Jackson | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| D. Gibbons | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter