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2004-11-23

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas State Red Wolves Memphis Tigers Spread Result
Elo 18.2% 81.8% -
Bradley-Terry 12.1% 87.9% -
Margin 5.4% 94.6% +15.7 (11.7 off)
Efficiency 54.9% 45.1% -

Actual: Memphis Tigers +4 (79-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J.J. Montgomery 35 7-14 0-1 3-4 4 2 1 0 2 17 8 -
D. Spencer 34 7-18 4-9 0-0 4 1 1 0 3 18 3 -
I. Wells 32 6-15 0-1 0-0 7 1 0 0 2 12 3 -
K. Witherspoon 28 2-7 0-0 3-4 15 3 1 0 2 7 17 -
D. Tipler 26 0-2 0-0 6-6 7 4 1 0 2 6 14 -
A. King-Holland 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 3 1 0 2 2 2 -
K. Durham 11 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
J. Nichols 11 2-6 1-5 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 5 3 -
M. Ardison 9 3-4 0-0 0-2 3 1 0 0 1 6 5 -

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Washington Jr. 36 3-9 0-1 2-4 3 3 1 0 5 8 1 -
C. Walker 33 9-15 3-4 10-13 10 1 0 3 3 31 27 -
R. Carney 32 6-21 2-9 0-0 7 2 2 3 0 14 7 -
A. Rice 28 5-10 2-5 3-4 0 1 1 0 0 15 7 -
J. Hunt 20 0-3 0-2 1-2 4 4 2 0 0 1 8 -
D. Erwin 19 0-2 0-0 4-4 5 1 0 0 3 4 5 -
J. Dorsey 17 0-1 0-0 3-6 8 1 1 3 0 3 15 -
A. Thiero 7 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 1 0 3 3 -
T. Beavers 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
S. Njoya 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Arthur Barclay 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter