Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Little Rock Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.1% | 63.9% | +3.1 | ✗ (17.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Little Rock Trojans -14 (64-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Tipler | 33 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 15 | - |
| D. Spencer | 32 | 6-9 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| J. Nichols | 29 | 8-10 | 6-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 18 | - |
| J.J. Montgomery | 28 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| K. Witherspoon | 24 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| I. Wells | 23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Durham | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| T. Little | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. King-Holland | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Freeman | 35 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Z. Graber | 33 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Darius Eason | 28 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Z. Wright | 26 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 7-8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| J. Jacobs | 22 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -1 | - |
| C. Willis | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Richard Hardman | 18 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| J. Knight | 10 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| E. Muldrow | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Pridgeon | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter