Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.4% | 85.6% | +9.8 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
Actual: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers +4 (76-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Nichols | 39 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| J.J. Montgomery | 37 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 23 | - |
| D. Spencer | 36 | 7-16 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 11 | - |
| D. Tipler | 29 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| K. Witherspoon | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| A. King-Holland | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -1 | - |
| I. Wells | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| T. Little | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Lee | 37 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 10 | - |
| A. Haynes | 34 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| A. Winchester | 34 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| E. Wilborn | 27 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| D. Rumph | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 8 | - |
| T. Rogers | 18 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| B. Siakam | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| S. Lamar | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| T. Dickerson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter