Model Predictions
| Model | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.0% | 37.0% | -2.9 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Efficiency | 90.8% | 9.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves -2 (68-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Cuffee | 38 | 10-17 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 19 | - |
| M. Morrison | 32 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| F. Cuyler | 30 | 6-12 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 5 | - |
| M. Dean | 27 | 2-12 | 0-4 | 5-8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -1 | - |
| B. Smithson | 26 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Weekes | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Steve Thomas | 15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| K. Young | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Spencer | 38 | 7-18 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 16 | - |
| J.J. Montgomery | 36 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| I. Wells | 25 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| D. Tipler | 24 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | - |
| J. Nichols | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. King-Holland | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Ardison | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Witherspoon | 17 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 4 | - |
| K. Durham | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter