Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Lamar Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.1% | 52.9% | +0.6 | ✓ (15.4 off) |
| Efficiency | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Lamar Cardinals +16 (86-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. Montgomery | 39 | 11-25 | 0-0 | 0-6 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 7 | - |
| D. Tipler | 35 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| M. Ardison | 27 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 16 | - |
| I. Wells | 27 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| D. Spencer | 25 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| K. Witherspoon | 20 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Nichols | 19 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| K. Durham | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Lamar Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Daniels | 36 | 8-15 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 6 | - |
| J. Goodwin | 28 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 19 | - |
| T. Davis | 28 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 4-6 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 19 | - |
| T. Fairley | 26 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 20 | - |
| B. Chappell | 24 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| J. Grant | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| R. Anthony | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. Long | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| N. Beard | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| B. Whittle | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Levy | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter