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2005-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas State Red Wolves North Texas Mean Green Spread Result
Elo 33.4% 66.6% -
Bradley-Terry 33.1% 66.9% -
Margin 22.6% 77.4% +6.8 (14.8 off)
Efficiency 94.5% 5.5% -

Actual: North Texas Mean Green -8 (76-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J.J. Montgomery 33 9-16 3-3 4-6 2 1 0 0 0 25 12 -
D. Spencer 33 6-11 4-6 4-5 7 1 3 1 6 20 15 -
D. Tipler 31 3-7 0-0 4-6 3 6 1 0 5 10 8 -
M. Ardison 28 2-4 0-0 1-2 9 2 1 2 2 5 13 -
K. Witherspoon 25 2-5 0-0 2-3 6 2 1 2 1 6 11 -
I. Wells 24 3-7 0-1 2-3 5 1 1 1 2 8 7 -
J. Nichols 20 3-4 3-4 1-3 1 1 1 2 0 10 11 -
A. King-Holland 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
K. Durham 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

North Texas Mean Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Leonard Hopkins 35 9-25 5-13 3-4 4 2 0 0 1 26 6 -
I. Hines 30 4-6 2-2 1-3 3 2 2 0 3 11 9 -
J. Wooton 27 3-13 2-7 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 8 1 -
M. Jones 25 3-8 1-4 3-4 11 2 2 0 1 10 16 -
J. Simpson 23 4-6 0-0 2-3 6 0 0 2 0 10 12 -
J. Barnett 18 3-5 0-0 0-1 7 0 0 1 1 6 8 -
M. Mitchell 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Q. Williams 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 3 2 1 -
M. Sturns 10 0-2 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 1 2 0 -2 -
T. Thomas 5 1-2 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
R. Harris 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter