Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.9% | 62.1% | +2.7 | ✗ (8.7 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves -6 (67-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Graber | 40 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| B. Freeman | 38 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Richard Hardman | 31 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 14 | - |
| C. Willis | 22 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Z. Wright | 22 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Darius Eason | 18 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Jacobs | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| M. Pridgeon | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| E. Muldrow | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Knight | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Spencer | 37 | 5-14 | 2-5 | 9-11 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 11 | - |
| I. Wells | 32 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Tipler | 29 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| J. Nichols | 28 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1 | - |
| J.J. Montgomery | 23 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4-7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| K. Witherspoon | 23 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| A. King-Holland | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Ardison | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Little | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Durham | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter