Model Predictions
| Model | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 64.5% | 35.5% | -3.3 | ✗ (7.3 off) |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +4 (94-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Lee | 34 | 6-15 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 4 | - |
| A. Winchester | 29 | 9-14 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 15 | - |
| T. Rogers | 28 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| E. Wilborn | 27 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| D. Rumph | 25 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| A. Haynes | 24 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | - |
| B. Siakam | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| S. Lamar | 11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| J. Stonebraker | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Spencer | 39 | 6-14 | 0-5 | 5-7 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 5 | - |
| J.J. Montgomery | 37 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 10-13 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - |
| K. Witherspoon | 33 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 22 | - |
| D. Tipler | 29 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. Nichols | 24 | 6-6 | 5-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| I. Wells | 24 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| A. King-Holland | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | - |
| K. Durham | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter