Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico State Aggies | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.1% | 42.9% | -1.6 | ✗ (15.6 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +14 (90-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mitchell | 36 | 2-11 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| B. Davis | 34 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| D. John | 34 | 7-13 | 4-8 | 6-7 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 19 | - |
| J. Jones | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 11 | - |
| J. Jenkins | 24 | 4-9 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 9 | - |
| A. Haynes | 24 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2 | - |
| T. Lawrence | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| B. Funston | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Hall | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Dominguez | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. Montgomery | 33 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| M. Ardison | 32 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 15 | - |
| D. Spencer | 31 | 7-14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 13 | - |
| J. Nichols | 21 | 4-10 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| K. Witherspoon | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| D. Tipler | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| I. Wells | 16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A. King-Holland | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| K. Durham | 6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Little | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| J. Bailey | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| E. Sokolov | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Y. Banks | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. King | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter