Washington Mystics
2016 Team Stats (34 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 899 (#10) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 926 (#10) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 942 (#10) | HCA +51 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -1.3 (#9) | HCA +2.5 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +0.6 (#6) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.448 (#9) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.451 (#9) | AdjNet -1.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.451 (#9) | AdjNet -1.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.470 (#9) | AdjO 79.4 | AdjD 80.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.512 (#6) | AdjO 79.8 | AdjD 79.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.438 (#10) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.447 (#9) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 915 (#10) | RD 165 | GP 34 |
2016 Schedule & Results
2016 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
T. Hill
|
G | 33 | 29.1 | 15.5 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 12.5 | 8.5 | - | - | - | - | 35.6 | 35.2 | 82.9 | - | 51.6 | 43.1 |
Emma Meesseman
|
C | 34 | 29.2 | 15.2 | 5.6 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 11.6 | 12.2 | - | - | - | - | 53.3 | 44.8 | 80.0 | - | 60.0 | 57.1 |
S. Dolson
|
C | 36 | 22.4 | 9.1 | 4.7 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 7.1 | 7.9 | - | - | - | - | 48.8 | 29.0 | 83.3 | - | 56.2 | 50.6 |
I. Latta
|
G | 22 | 20.7 | 8.3 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 7.5 | 3.3 | - | - | - | - | 33.1 | 30.5 | 90.9 | - | 49.1 | 42.8 |
T. Ruffin-Pratt
|
G | 34 | 24.2 | 7.4 | 4.3 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 6.3 | 7.8 | - | - | - | - | 37.4 | 30.2 | 73.3 | - | 48.4 | 41.1 |
Jeff Hagen
|
- | 4 | 17.5 | 7.2 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 4.5 | 8.5 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 84.6 | - | 61.1 | 50.0 |
Kahleah Copper
|
G | 32 | 16.2 | 6.8 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 5.3 | 4.9 | - | - | - | - | 43.2 | 46.7 | 72.2 | - | 53.2 | 47.3 |
B. Hartley
|
G | 24 | 16.9 | 6.5 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 5.5 | 4.2 | - | - | - | - | 37.6 | 36.2 | 80.0 | - | 51.4 | 45.5 |
Kia Vaughn
|
C | 36 | 19.6 | 6.1 | 4.3 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 5.5 | 5.8 | - | - | - | - | 50.3 | 0 | 73.3 | - | 52.3 | 50.3 |
Leilani Mitchell
|
Forward | 10 | 16.1 | 5.9 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 4.6 | 3.7 | - | - | - | - | 43.5 | 35.5 | 80.0 | - | 58.5 | 55.4 |
Natasha Cloud
|
G | 33 | 24.1 | 5.8 | 3.0 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 5.2 | 6.8 | - | - | - | - | 35.3 | 33.8 | 75.4 | - | 48.3 | 42.4 |
Tianna Hawkins
|
F | 26 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 3.7 | 3.7 | - | - | - | - | 51.0 | 50.0 | 87.0 | - | 60.8 | 56.8 |
Z. Dimitrakou
|
F | 4 | 13.2 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 4.8 | 1.8 | - | - | - | - | 26.3 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 39.3 | 28.9 |
L. Galdeira
|
G | 2 | 14.5 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | -2.5 | - | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 57.1 | - | 36.1 | 25.0 |
D. Grant
|
G | 2 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 51.0 | 40.0 |
A. Malott
|
F | 25 | 8.5 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 2.4 | 1.7 | - | - | - | - | 35.0 | 36.8 | 76.9 | - | 50.2 | 46.7 |
J. Weisner
|
G | 7 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | 44.4 | 50.0 | 100.0 | - | 60.7 | 55.6 |
C. Lee
|
F | 2 | 10.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3.5 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 26.6 | 0.0 |
J. Payne
|
G | 1 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2016 Shot Zones
2369 located field-goal attempts in 36 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Emma MeessemanT. HillS. DolsonNatasha CloudI. LattaA. Malott
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 360-648 | 55.6 | 720 | Emma Meesseman 22% (156 pts) | T. Hill 15% (106 pts) | T. Hill 20% (59 misses) | Emma Meesseman 15% (44 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 131-353 | 37.1 | 262 | Emma Meesseman 32% (84 pts) | Kia Vaughn 19% (50 pts) | Emma Meesseman 21% (46 misses) | T. Hill 17% (37 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 105-272 | 38.6 | 210 | Emma Meesseman 32% (68 pts) | T. Hill 14% (30 pts) | Emma Meesseman 25% (42 misses) | T. Hill 13% (22 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 58-118 | 49.2 | 116 | S. Dolson 34% (40 pts) | Kahleah Copper 14% (16 pts) | S. Dolson 22% (13 misses) | T. Hill 15% (9 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 119-301 | 39.5 | 238 | S. Dolson 24% (56 pts) | Emma Meesseman 16% (38 pts) | S. Dolson 16% (30 misses) | T. Hill 14% (25 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 6-19 | 31.6 | 18 | A. Malott 33% (6 pts) | B. Hartley 17% (3 pts) | Natasha Cloud 23% (3 misses) | B. Hartley 15% (2 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 7-15 | 46.7 | 21 | I. Latta 29% (6 pts) | Natasha Cloud 29% (6 pts) | T. Hill 38% (3 misses) | I. Latta 25% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 98-232 | 42.2 | 294 | T. Hill 29% (84 pts) | Emma Meesseman 14% (42 pts) | T. Hill 32% (43 misses) | I. Latta 15% (20 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 40-136 | 29.4 | 120 | Emma Meesseman 28% (33 pts) | Natasha Cloud 15% (18 pts) | T. Hill 21% (20 misses) | I. Latta 18% (17 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 86-275 | 31.3 | 258 | T. Hill 28% (72 pts) | I. Latta 14% (36 pts) | T. Hill 25% (47 misses) | I. Latta 17% (32 misses) |