Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.7% | 63.3% | +3.0 | ✓ (13.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +16 (93-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Meesseman * | 31 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Tayler Hill * | 30 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Stefanie Dolson * | 22 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Bria Hartley * | 22 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Tierra Ruffin-Pratt * | 14 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Ivory Latta | 21 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Natasha Cloud | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kahleah Copper | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Tianna Hawkins | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jamie Weisner | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Ally Malott | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Taurasi * | 34 | 10-17 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 13 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner * | 32 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Brittney Griner * | 29 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Penny Taylor * | 27 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Candice Dupree * | 27 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Mistie Bass | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Sonja Petrovic | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Isabelle Harrison | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Noelle Quinn | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Alex Harden | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Nirra Fields | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Courtney Williams | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter