Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.2% | 56.8% | +1.5 | ✗ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -11 (76-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles * | 32 | 11-21 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Sugar Rodgers * | 31 | 7-14 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Tanisha Wright * | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Carolyn Swords * | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Brittany Boyd-Jones * | 14 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous | 26 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Lindsey Harding | 23 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Amanda Zahui B | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ameryst Alston | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayler Hill * | 32 | 6-15 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Emma Meesseman * | 28 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Natasha Cloud * | 27 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Stefanie Dolson * | 26 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Kahleah Copper * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Bria Hartley | 25 | 6-14 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Tianna Hawkins | 11 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Ally Malott | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter