Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.9% | 33.1% | -3.9 | ✓ (16.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.6% | 23.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -20 (75-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristi Toliver * | 28 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 26 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 11-12 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 35 | - |
| Candace Parker * | 24 | 8-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Essence Carson * | 23 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Alana Beard * | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Evgeniia Belyakova | 25 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 18 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ann Wauters | 10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Whitney Knight | 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natasha Cloud * | 28 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Emma Meesseman * | 26 | 7-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Tierra Ruffin-Pratt * | 25 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Ivory Latta * | 23 | 3-12 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Kia Vaughn * | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Kahleah Copper | 22 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Stefanie Dolson | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Bria Hartley | 13 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Tianna Hawkins | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Ally Malott | 5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jamie Weisner | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter