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2016-06-05

Model Predictions

Model Washington Mystics Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 56.6% 43.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 60.0% 40.0% - โœ“
Margin 55.5% 44.5% -1.2 โœ“ (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 54.9% 45.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 66.9% 33.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 66.9% 33.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 52.9% 47.1% - โœ“

Actual: Atlanta Dream -7 (79-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Emma Meesseman * 29 6-13 1-1 2-2 7 2 0 1 0 15 12 -
Tayler Hill * 27 4-9 3-6 6-6 1 3 0 0 3 17 9 -
Stefanie Dolson * 23 2-6 0-0 4-4 12 3 0 3 0 8 20 -
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt * 19 1-7 0-1 1-2 2 2 0 0 0 3 0 -
Natasha Cloud * 13 1-4 1-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 3 4 -
Ivory Latta 28 4-11 3-7 1-1 4 3 1 0 2 12 7 -
Ally Malott 19 3-4 1-2 3-3 4 1 1 1 1 10 12 -
Kia Vaughn 16 3-5 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 0 6 8 -
Bria Hartley 12 1-9 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 2 -4 -
Tianna Hawkins 10 3-6 0-1 4-5 4 0 0 0 0 10 8 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Angel McCoughtry * 36 8-16 2-5 10-13 4 2 2 2 4 28 18 -
Elizabeth Williams * 36 8-12 0-0 5-6 6 2 0 2 0 21 19 -
Sancho Lyttle * 33 3-6 0-0 2-2 11 1 0 1 0 8 15 -
Tiffany Hayes * 26 0-9 0-4 1-2 2 4 0 0 0 1 -2 -
Layshia Clarendon * 25 3-10 1-3 0-0 6 1 1 0 3 7 2 -
Carla Cortijo 14 1-2 1-2 4-4 2 5 0 1 0 7 13 -
Matee Ajavon 8 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 2 1 -
Bria Holmes 7 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
Meighan Simmons 5 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 0 -1 -
Cierra Burdick 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Rachel Hollivay 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter