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2016-09-15

Model Predictions

Model Washington Mystics Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 56.6% 43.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 60.0% 40.0% - โœ—
Margin 55.5% 44.5% -1.2 โœ— (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 54.9% 45.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 66.9% 33.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 66.9% 33.1% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 52.9% 47.1% - โœ—

Actual: Atlanta Dream +3 (94-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Natasha Cloud * 33 4-12 1-6 1-3 3 7 2 0 4 10 6 -
Tayler Hill * 31 4-12 2-7 10-10 2 6 3 1 0 20 20 -
Stefanie Dolson * 30 6-14 1-2 2-2 6 1 0 0 0 15 8 -
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt * 29 3-9 1-5 0-0 4 2 2 0 0 7 6 -
Emma Meesseman * 29 9-16 0-0 2-3 10 3 0 0 2 20 15 -
Kia Vaughn 19 5-8 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 11 5 -
Leilani Mitchell 15 3-7 2-6 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 8 5 -
Ally Malott 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Kahleah Copper 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Elizabeth Williams * 35 5-9 0-0 3-6 10 0 0 0 1 13 13 -
Tiffany Hayes * 33 7-14 2-5 5-6 5 1 2 0 2 21 13 -
Angel McCoughtry * 31 12-22 0-2 7-8 7 5 2 2 6 31 19 -
Layshia Clarendon * 31 2-8 0-2 2-4 3 9 1 0 2 6 9 -
Bria Holmes * 30 6-8 1-2 3-4 6 1 1 0 2 16 14 -
Markeisha Gatling 21 1-2 0-0 3-3 5 0 0 1 0 5 9 -
Matee Ajavon 8 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 6 0 0 1 2 6 -
Rachel Hollivay 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter