Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.7% | 63.3% | +3.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +4 (78-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Meesseman * | 27 | 9-17 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 7 | - |
| Tayler Hill * | 26 | 4-16 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Stefanie Dolson * | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Tierra Ruffin-Pratt * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Natasha Cloud * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Kahleah Copper | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Ivory Latta | 23 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 23 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Bria Hartley | 16 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Tianna Hawkins | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeWanna Bonner * | 38 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Brittney Griner * | 36 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 23 | - |
| Diana Taurasi * | 35 | 4-18 | 3-11 | 7-9 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Mistie Bass * | 32 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Sonja Petrovic * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Marta Xargay | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Lindsey Harding | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Kelsey Bone | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Isabelle Harrison | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Alex Harden | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter