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Washington Mystics 74
@
Phoenix Mercury 78
2016-07-13

Model Predictions

Model Washington Mystics Phoenix Mercury Spread Result
Elo 20.1% 79.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 35.5% 64.5% - ✓
Margin 29.7% 70.3% +4.7 ✓ (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 42.6% 57.4% - ✓

Actual: Phoenix Mercury +4 (78-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Meesseman 27 9-17 2-2 2-3 4 0 0 0 2 22 7 -
T. Hill 27 4-16 1-6 6-6 4 3 0 0 2 15 4 -
K. Vaughn 24 1-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 3 2 0 2 6 -
K. Copper 24 2-4 0-0 2-4 7 3 0 0 1 6 11 -
I. Latta 23 2-6 1-4 3-3 0 3 0 0 3 8 2 -
S. Dolson 17 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 -2 -
B. Hartley 17 3-8 3-5 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 9 3 -
T. Ruffin-Pratt 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 3 0 0 2 4 7 -
N. Cloud 14 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
T. Hawkins 12 2-3 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 0 0 6 9 -

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Bonner 39 4-11 2-5 6-7 4 1 2 1 4 16 9 -
B. Griner 36 7-12 0-0 8-8 8 1 1 5 2 22 23 -
D. Taurasi 35 4-18 3-11 7-9 6 6 2 0 2 18 12 -
M. Bass 33 6-10 0-0 0-0 6 3 0 2 0 12 13 -
S. Petrovic 21 2-5 0-0 0-0 5 2 2 0 1 4 7 -
M. Xargay 13 0-3 0-0 2-2 2 1 1 0 1 2 2 -
L. Harding 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 2 0 -
K. Bone 7 1-2 0-0 0-1 4 0 1 0 2 2 3 -
I. Harrison 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Harden 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter