Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.5% | 86.5% | +10.2 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +11 (93-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Meesseman * | 31 | 10-17 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 21 | - |
| Tayler Hill * | 29 | 2-13 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Kia Vaughn * | 25 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Natasha Cloud * | 24 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Tierra Ruffin-Pratt * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Ivory Latta | 22 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Kahleah Copper | 18 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Stefanie Dolson | 16 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Bria Hartley | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Tianna Hawkins | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristi Toliver * | 36 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Candace Parker * | 32 | 9-16 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 26 | - |
| Essence Carson * | 31 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 30 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Alana Beard * | 29 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 22 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Evgeniia Belyakova | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter