Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.6% | 75.4% | +6.2 | ✗ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -3 (106-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Meesseman * | 45 | 7-15 | 4-5 | 5-5 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Tayler Hill * | 41 | 6-16 | 1-5 | 8-9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 7 | - |
| Tierra Ruffin-Pratt * | 38 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Natasha Cloud * | 36 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Stefanie Dolson * | 17 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 37 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Bria Hartley | 23 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Ivory Latta | 12 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Kahleah Copper | 12 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Tianna Hawkins | 9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Bentley * | 48 | 12-19 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 14 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas * | 45 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Kelsey Bone * | 42 | 9-17 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Morgan Tuck * | 40 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Camille Smith * | 34 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Shekinna Stricklen | 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Chiney Ogwumike | 15 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Kelly Faris | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jonquel Jones | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Rachel Banham | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter