Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 67.6% | 32.4% | -4.0 | ✗ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +7 (77-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayler Hill * | 32 | 5-18 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 0 | - |
| Emma Meesseman * | 29 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Natasha Cloud * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Tierra Ruffin-Pratt * | 22 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Stefanie Dolson * | 18 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Ivory Latta | 15 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Tianna Hawkins | 10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Ally Malott | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Bria Hartley | 7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Kahleah Copper | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moriah Jefferson * | 33 | 7-15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Dearica Hamby * | 32 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Monique Currie * | 30 | 7-20 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Alex Montgomery * | 28 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Jayne Appel Marinelli * | 28 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 23 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Haley Peters | 11 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Kayla Alexander | 11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jazmon Gwathmey | 7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter