Villanova
2009 Team Stats (36 games)
76.8
PPG
67.6
Opp
+9.2
Margin
45.0%
FG%
35.5%
3P%
75.4%
FT%
38.1
RPG
14.4
APG
13.4
TO
-
Est. poss./game
76.6
Adj PPG
60.5
Adj Opp PPG
#13
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2008-2009
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1499 (#3) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1360 (#9) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1207 (#5) | HCA +107 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +17.1 (#14) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +18.8 (#6) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.819 (#23) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.952 (#16) | AdjNet +25.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.953 (#16) | AdjNet +26.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.812 (#13) | AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 60.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.769 (#7) | AdjO 76.5 | AdjD 63.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.893 (#8) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.887 (#8) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1389 (#8) | RD 86 | GP 38 |
2009 Schedule & Results
2009 Roster
No roster data available for this season.