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2009-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Villanova Wildcats UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 16.6% 83.4% -
Bradley-Terry 38.5% 61.5% -
Margin 19.1% 80.9% +7.9 (1.9 off)
Efficiency 22.8% 77.2% -

Actual: UConn Huskies +6 (89-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Villanova Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Reynolds 32 4-11 1-5 5-6 2 5 0 0 3 14 7 -
A. Pena 31 5-11 0-0 2-2 8 0 1 1 1 12 10 -
D. Anderson 31 5-9 1-3 4-4 8 3 3 0 1 15 19 -
C. Stokes 25 3-6 3-6 3-3 2 0 0 0 2 12 6 -
C. Fisher 22 4-10 1-2 0-0 2 3 1 0 4 9 1 -
R. Redding 22 5-10 1-2 1-3 4 1 2 1 2 12 8 -
S. Clark 18 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 -
D. Cunningham 14 2-5 0-0 2-2 3 0 2 3 0 6 9 -
F. Tchuisi 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Adrien 36 3-10 0-0 6-6 14 0 0 1 1 12 16 -
A.J. Price 34 10-13 4-6 5-6 5 5 0 0 6 29 20 -
J. Dyson 30 6-11 0-1 7-10 4 1 3 0 2 19 14 -
S. Robinson 28 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 2 3 2 3 -
C. Austrie 27 2-10 0-3 3-4 2 2 0 0 0 7 1 -
H. Thabeet 17 3-4 0-0 4-5 3 0 1 3 0 10 13 -
K. Walker 16 1-4 0-1 4-6 1 2 0 0 1 6 4 -
G. Edwards 12 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 2 2 1 4 6 -

* = starter