Model Predictions
| Model | UCLA Bruins | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.5% | 81.5% | +10.1 | ✓ (9.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.3% | 58.7% | +1.9 | ✓ (18.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +20 (89-69). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
UCLA Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darren Collison * | 33 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 5-8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Josh Shipp * | 31 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 7-7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Jrue Holiday * | 27 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Nikola Dragovic * | 27 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| A. Aboya * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Malcolm Lee | 19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Keefe | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Roll | 9 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Drew Gordon | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jerime Anderson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J'mison Morgan | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwayne Anderson * | 34 | 4-14 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Reggie Redding * | 34 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Scottie Reynolds * | 31 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Dante Cunningham * | 24 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 20 | - |
| S. Clark * | 16 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Corey Fisher | 25 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| C. Stokes | 23 | 4-10 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| A. Pena | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Colenda | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Russell Wooten | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| F. Tchuisi | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter