Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.3% | 96.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.7% | 98.3% | +22.4 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +13 (80-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Mercer | 40 | 8-16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 6 | - |
| G. Carr | 37 | 8-18 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 7 | - |
| B. Gilmore | 36 | 7-15 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| J. Nichols | 27 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| F. Borden | 26 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| N. Hendra | 16 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Lumpkins | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| B. Simon | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Luptak | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Redding | 36 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| D. Cunningham | 36 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 17 | - |
| S. Reynolds | 35 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5 | - |
| D. Anderson | 31 | 9-10 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 22 | - |
| C. Fisher | 27 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 9-10 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 14 | - |
| S. Clark | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| C. Stokes | 16 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
* = starter