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2009-01-18

Model Predictions

Model St. John's Red Storm Villanova Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 5.4% 94.6% +20.0 โœ“ (1.0 off)
Bradley-Terry 10.6% 89.4% - โœ“
Margin 4.9% 95.1% +16.3 โœ“ (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 31.4% 68.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 3.0% 97.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 2.9% 97.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 19.1% 80.9% - โœ“

Actual: Villanova Wildcats +19 (76-57). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.

St. John's Red Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Kennedy * 40 5-12 2-3 6-8 8 3 0 0 3 18 14 -
P. Horne * 40 2-10 2-7 1-2 1 3 0 0 2 7 -1 -
J. Burrell * 36 4-6 0-2 5-5 7 2 2 2 3 13 17 -
Quincy Roberts * 33 4-8 2-4 4-4 0 2 3 0 3 14 8 -
S. Evans * 26 1-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 3 0 4 2 -1 -
D. Coker 13 0-2 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 1 2 0 0 -
TyShwan Edmondson 9 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 0 1 3 2 -
T. Jasiulionis 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Villanova Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dante Cunningham * 31 7-10 0-0 3-5 1 2 1 2 2 17 11 -
Dwayne Anderson * 29 5-9 1-3 3-3 4 2 3 1 3 14 12 -
Corey Fisher * 28 5-7 0-0 2-4 1 2 1 0 2 12 7 -
A. Pena * 27 5-9 0-0 3-4 9 2 1 1 4 13 13 -
Scottie Reynolds * 20 4-6 1-3 0-1 3 5 0 0 1 9 10 -
Reggie Redding 31 2-4 1-2 0-1 5 3 4 0 2 5 11 -
C. Stokes 28 2-6 2-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 6 4 -
F. Tchuisi 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
Russell Wooten 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Colenda 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter