Model Predictions
| Model | Albany Great Danes | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.6% | 97.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.4% | 97.6% | +20.4 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +18 (78-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Albany Great Danes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Harris | 34 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| B. Connelly | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| A. Raffa | 24 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 6 | - |
| B. Gifford | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| M. Johnson | 22 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | - |
| T. Ambrose | 20 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 3 | - |
| J. Covington | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| J. Hastings | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| L. Barraza | 11 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| S. McRae | 9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| B. Allen | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Reynolds | 30 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| C. Fisher | 30 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 12 | - |
| D. Cunningham | 30 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| A. Pena | 28 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| R. Redding | 26 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| C. Stokes | 26 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| C. Drummond | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| F. Tchuisi | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| R. Wooten | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Colenda | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Kurz | 0 | 5-12 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | - |
| S. O'Connor | 0 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Getty | 0 | 4-9 | 2-7 | 5-7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 11 | - |
| B. McKnight | 0 | 2-15 | 2-10 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| H. Scanlon | 0 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
* = starter