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2009-02-22

Model Predictions

Model Villanova Wildcats Syracuse Orange Spread Result
Elo 49.3% 50.7% -0.3 โœ— (2.7 off)
Bradley-Terry 50.7% 49.3% - โœ“
Margin 38.3% 61.7% +2.6 โœ— (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 48.7% 51.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 49.5% 50.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 49.3% 50.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 44.4% 55.6% - โœ—

Actual: Syracuse Orange -3 (86-89). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.

Villanova Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dwayne Anderson 36 8-14 4-6 2-3 5 2 1 0 3 22 13 -
Reggie Redding 34 3-5 0-1 5-6 2 7 6 0 1 11 20 -
Dante Cunningham 34 5-14 0-0 2-3 12 6 0 0 2 12 14 -
S. Clark 31 6-8 0-0 3-4 8 2 0 0 2 15 15 -
Corey Fisher 24 5-6 1-1 5-7 3 2 1 0 1 16 15 -
Scottie Reynolds 23 4-9 1-5 1-3 0 2 1 0 5 10 -1 -
C. Stokes 13 1-4 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 3 1 -
A. Pena 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
F. Tchuisi 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Syracuse Orange

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jonny Flynn 34 5-17 2-8 0-1 1 8 0 1 4 12 1 -
E. Devendorf 34 7-14 3-10 5-5 1 6 0 0 4 22 11 -
Andy Rautins 32 6-17 6-15 0-0 1 5 1 0 3 18 5 -
P. Harris 30 9-16 1-6 2-4 6 1 3 0 1 21 14 -
Rick Jackson 27 0-1 0-0 2-2 8 0 1 2 1 2 11 -
K. Ongenaet 24 3-3 0-0 1-2 11 3 0 2 1 7 19 -
Arinze Onuaku 19 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 4 5 -

* = starter