Model Predictions
| Model | Villanova Wildcats | Providence Friars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.5% | 24.5% | -8.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.9% | 23.1% | -6.6 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.3% | 14.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.5% | 14.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Providence Friars -3 (91-94). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Reynolds | 37 | 7-18 | 4-11 | 13-15 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 17 | - |
| Reggie Redding | 36 | 6-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Dwayne Anderson | 35 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 6-6 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 22 | - |
| Dante Cunningham | 34 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 19 | - |
| C. Stokes | 17 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Corey Fisher | 16 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| S. Clark | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| A. Pena | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| F. Tchuisi | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Colenda | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Providence Friars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sharaud Curry | 34 | 6-13 | 6-10 | 7-7 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 17 | - |
| G. McDermott | 34 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 15 | - |
| W. Efejuku | 31 | 6-17 | 4-7 | 7-8 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 14 | - |
| J. Xavier | 30 | 8-19 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 11 | - |
| J. Kale | 29 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| MarShon Brooks | 13 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| R. Hanke | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. McKenzie | 11 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| A. Kellogg | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter