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2009-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Villanova Wildcats Louisville Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 62.0% 38.0% -
Bradley-Terry 40.1% 59.9% -
Margin 26.3% 73.7% +5.7 (8.3 off)
Efficiency 31.3% 68.7% -

Actual: Louisville Cardinals +14 (69-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Villanova Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Reynolds 38 1-6 0-3 0-0 4 3 4 0 6 2 1 -
R. Redding 32 1-3 0-0 1-4 6 1 0 0 0 3 7 -
D. Anderson 29 5-8 2-4 0-0 5 2 0 1 4 12 8 -
C. Fisher 26 4-8 3-5 3-3 2 3 2 0 7 14 6 -
D. Cunningham 24 5-11 0-0 4-4 9 1 0 1 1 14 13 -
C. Stokes 23 2-9 1-5 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 5 0 -
S. Clark 21 0-6 0-0 5-6 2 2 0 0 2 5 1 -
A. Pena 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
R. Wooten 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Williams 39 2-9 1-2 0-0 11 6 3 0 3 5 13 -
E. Clark 35 6-14 3-7 2-2 7 4 4 0 3 17 15 -
A. McGee 27 3-9 3-6 0-0 3 4 1 0 0 9 8 -
J. Smith 26 6-9 4-7 0-3 2 2 0 0 3 16 8 -
S. Samuels 23 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 2 4 1 -
T. Jennings 16 3-4 0-0 2-5 3 0 2 3 1 8 11 -
P. Knowles 14 3-4 2-3 0-0 2 2 1 1 2 8 8 -
E. Sosa 13 0-4 0-2 2-2 0 0 1 0 1 2 -2 -
J. Swopshire 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
R. Delk 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Goode 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter