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Vanderbilt

Also known as: Vanderbilt Commodores, Vanderbilt
Program History

2012 Team Stats (15 games)

72.3
PPG
70.7
Opp
+1.6
Margin
45.4%
FG%
37.9%
3P%
67.3%
FT%
34.1
RPG
13.1
APG
13.7
TO
-
Est. poss./game
74.0
Adj PPG
60.4
Adj Opp PPG
#20
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1425 (#12) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1266 (#21) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More โ†’ 1141 (#20) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +14.5 (#18) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +16.7 (#7) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.783 (#44) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +23.1 More โ†’ 0.935 (#19) AdjNet +23.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +23.4 More โ†’ 0.937 (#19) AdjNet +23.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.0 | AdjD 60.4 More โ†’ 0.775 (#20) AdjO 74.0 | AdjD 60.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.5 | AdjD 59.7 More โ†’ 0.746 (#8) AdjO 71.5 | AdjD 59.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.854 (#14) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.850 (#12) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 103 | GP 36 More โ†’ 1298 (#16) RD 103 | GP 36

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 vs Oregon Ducks W 78 - 64
2011-11-13 vs Cleveland State Vikings L 58 - 71
2011-11-15 vs Bucknell Bison W 80 - 68
2011-11-19 @ NC State Wolfpack W 86 - 79
2011-11-21 @ Oregon State Beavers W 64 - 62
2011-11-25 vs Monmouth Hawks W 95 - 73
2011-11-28 vs Xavier Musketeers L 70 - 82
2011-12-02 @ Louisville Cardinals L 60 - 62
2011-12-07 @ Davidson Wildcats W 87 - 83
2011-12-17 vs Indiana State Sycamores L 55 - 61
2011-12-19 vs Longwood Lancers W 99 - 71
2011-12-21 vs Lafayette Leopards W 89 - 58
2011-12-29 @ Marquette Golden Eagles W 74 - 57
2012-01-02 vs Miami (OH) Redhawks W 69 - 62
2012-01-07 vs Auburn Tigers W 65 - 35
2012-01-10 @ South Carolina Gamecocks W 67 - 57
2012-01-14 vs Georgia Bulldogs W 77 - 66
2012-01-19 @ Alabama Crimson Tide W 69 - 59
2012-01-21 vs Mississippi State Bulldogs L 77 - 78
2012-01-24 vs Tennessee Volunteers W 65 - 47
2012-01-28 vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders W 84 - 77
2012-01-31 @ Arkansas Razorbacks L 74 - 82
2012-02-04 @ Florida Gators L 65 - 73
2012-02-08 vs LSU Tigers W 76 - 61
2012-02-11 vs Kentucky Wildcats L 63 - 69
2012-02-16 @ Ole Miss Rebels W 102 - 76
2012-02-19 @ Georgia Bulldogs W 61 - 52
2012-02-22 vs South Carolina Gamecocks W 59 - 48
2012-02-25 @ Kentucky Wildcats L 74 - 83
2012-02-28 vs Florida Gators W 77 - 67
2012-03-03 @ Tennessee Volunteers L 61 - 68
2012-03-09 vs Georgia Bulldogs W 63 - 41
2012-03-10 vs Ole Miss Rebels W 65 - 53
2012-03-11 @ Kentucky Wildcats W 71 - 64
2012-03-15 vs Harvard Crimson W 79 - 70
2012-03-17 @ Wisconsin Badgers L 57 - 60

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
John Jenkins John Jenkins G 35 33.6 19.9 2.9 1.2 0.8 0.3 1.6 8.3 15.3 247 31 8.0 11.1 46.6 42.8 80.6 4.17 108.9 60.9
Jeffery Taylor Jeffery Taylor F 36 32.1 16.1 5.6 1.7 1.3 0.4 2.2 7.0 15.9 243 32 7.6 11.0 48.0 41.8 58.3 4.7 97.0 55.6
Festus Ezeli Festus Ezeli C 26 23.2 10.1 5.9 0.3 0.4 2.0 2.2 3.6 12.9 149 24 6.2 12.2 53.2 0 64.0 4.68 103.1 53.2
Brad Tinsley Brad Tinsley G 36 27.5 9.0 2.6 4.1 0.6 0.1 2.0 3.7 10.7 181 32 5.7 9.5 51.5 47.6 88.9 0.74 106.4 62.9
Lance Goulbourne Lance Goulbourne F 36 27.9 8.7 6.9 1.2 1.5 0.7 1.9 3.6 13.5 149 32 4.7 7.8 45.7 32.3 69.7 -0.62 96.0 49.6
Steve Tchiengang Steve Tchiengang F 35 17.3 3.4 3.3 0.5 0.3 0.3 1.0 1.3 5.7 67 31 2.2 6.1 50.0 18.2 77.8 -0.14 107.4 52.3
Kedren Johnson Kedren Johnson G 36 14.5 3.1 1.2 1.8 0.5 0.1 1.2 1.5 4.1 71 32 2.2 7.1 26.4 19.0 71.4 0.03 93.8 30.2
Rod Odom Rod Odom F 36 14.4 2.4 2.0 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.6 1.1 3.7 77 32 2.4 7.9 39.0 36.4 56.2 -2.6 90.5 48.8
Josh Henderson Josh Henderson C 9 7.8 2.3 2.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.6 1.4 3.6 -7 6 -1.2 -6.1 53.8 0 62.5 -2.2 63.6 53.8
D. Parker D. Parker G 36 11.1 1.7 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.2 18 32 0.6 2.4 36.8 25.0 57.1 -1.51 74.2 44.7
Jordan Smart Jordan Smart G-F 8 2.0 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.5 3 8 0.4 7.5 100.0 0 0 -0.59 500.0 100.0
Kyle Fuller Kyle Fuller G 18 6.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.6 0.6 1.9 -12 15 -0.8 -5.0 20.0 0.0 0 -4.58 85.0 20.0
James Siakam James Siakam F 12 2.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7 1 12 0.1 1.6 0 0 50.0 -0.87 340.9 0
Shelby Moats Shelby Moats F 15 4.3 0.5 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 1.5 23 12 1.9 16.6 25.0 25.0 0 0.9 100.0 37.5
Aaron Noll Aaron Noll F 4 0.8 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 - - - - 0 0 0 -0.84 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG