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2011-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Vanderbilt Commodores Oregon State Beavers Spread Result
Elo 81.5% 18.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 70.2% 29.8% - โœ“
Margin 64.4% 35.6% -3.3 โœ“ (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 49.0% 51.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 79.2% 20.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 79.5% 20.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 57.0% 43.0% - โœ“

Actual: Oregon State Beavers -2 (62-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Jenkins * 38 5-13 4-7 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 14 1 -
Lance Goulbourne * 31 4-9 1-2 0-0 9 2 2 0 6 9 7 -
Brad Tinsley * 29 4-6 1-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 3 9 5 -
Jeffery Taylor * 29 6-13 0-2 1-2 8 2 2 1 3 13 10 -
Steve Tchiengang * 24 2-2 1-1 4-4 5 1 0 0 1 9 12 -
Rod Odom 17 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 4 0 -
D. Parker 13 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 2 -1 -
Kedren Johnson 9 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 2 0 -
Josh Henderson 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
Kyle Fuller 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Shelby Moats 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jared Cunningham * 37 3-9 0-2 3-5 3 3 7 0 7 9 6 -
Ahmad Starks * 36 6-20 2-9 2-2 4 5 4 0 2 16 7 -
Devon Collier * 33 8-11 0-0 3-5 5 1 2 4 1 19 19 -
Joe Burton * 25 2-7 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 1 4 3 -
Angus Brandt * 24 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 -
Eric Moreland 25 4-7 0-0 0-2 8 3 1 0 1 8 12 -
Roberto Nelson 14 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
Challe Barton 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Kevin McShane 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

* = starter