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2012-03-15

Model Predictions

Model Harvard Crimson Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 3.4% 96.6% -
Bradley-Terry 34.4% 65.6% -
Margin 12.8% 87.2% +10.6 (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 50.9% 49.1% -
Efficiency 85.8% 14.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 15.8% 84.2% -
Log Adjusted 15.3% 84.7% -

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores +9 (79-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Brown 0 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Curry * 36 5-13 1-5 1-2 1 3 0 0 4 12 -1 -
O. McNally * 34 2-5 0-3 0-0 1 7 1 0 2 4 6 -
K. Wright * 33 3-8 0-0 2-2 9 2 0 0 1 8 10 -
K. Casey * 28 3-9 1-3 6-6 5 1 1 0 0 13 11 -
L. Rivard * 25 6-7 6-7 2-4 1 0 0 0 1 20 13 -
C. Webster 20 2-7 1-6 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 5 2 -
W. Saunders 11 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 -1 -
S. Moundou-Missi 6 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
C. Miller 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Travis 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Taylor * 32 6-13 2-5 1-4 1 2 2 0 2 15 5 -
J. Jenkins * 32 7-12 3-8 10-13 6 3 1 0 1 27 24 -
F. Ezeli * 26 2-3 0-0 4-6 11 1 2 4 3 8 20 -
B. Tinsley * 23 5-6 2-2 4-4 1 4 1 0 4 16 12 -
L. Goulbourne * 12 1-2 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 3 4 4 -
R. Odom 27 2-4 1-2 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 5 7 -
K. Johnson 22 2-5 0-1 0-1 0 1 1 0 2 4 -1 -
S. Tchiengang 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 0 5 -
D. Parker 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter