Model Predictions
| Model | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Vanderbilt Commodores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.4% | 87.6% | +12.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.1% | 82.9% | +8.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores +7 (84-77). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Massey * | 36 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| LaRon Dendy * | 35 | 8-11 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Marcos Knight * | 34 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| J.T. Sulton * | 23 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Raymond Cintron * | 22 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jason Jones | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Kerry Hammonds | 15 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| James Gallman | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jimmy Oden | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Torin Walker | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Shawn Jones | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Vanderbilt Commodores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Jenkins * | 35 | 10-18 | 4-11 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 12 | - |
| Jeffery Taylor * | 34 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Lance Goulbourne * | 32 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Festus Ezeli * | 30 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 11-13 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Brad Tinsley * | 24 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Kedren Johnson | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Parker | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Steve Tchiengang | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Rod Odom | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter