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2012-01-31

Model Predictions

Model Vanderbilt Commodores Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 64.8% 35.2% -
Bradley-Terry 27.1% 72.9% -
Margin 28.4% 71.6% +5.1 (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 74.9% 25.1% -
Efficiency 31.1% 68.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 93.9% 6.1% -
Log Adjusted 94.0% 6.0% -

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +8 (82-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Taylor * 37 5-12 1-5 7-9 6 1 0 2 1 18 14 -
J. Jenkins * 35 6-14 4-10 3-4 5 1 0 1 3 19 9 -
B. Tinsley * 27 2-5 1-2 0-0 2 6 0 0 2 5 6 -
F. Ezeli * 21 6-7 0-0 2-6 4 1 0 2 3 14 11 -
L. Goulbourne * 19 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 4 6 -
K. Johnson 20 1-4 0-2 2-2 2 2 0 1 1 4 4 -
S. Tchiengang 18 4-5 0-1 2-2 4 0 0 1 1 10 9 -
R. Odom 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Fuller 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
D. Parker 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Wade * 34 4-9 2-5 0-0 2 4 1 1 1 10 8 -
R. Scott Jr. * 32 6-13 2-4 4-9 5 3 0 0 0 18 13 -
J. Nobles * 29 7-10 3-6 0-0 4 3 2 0 1 17 15 -
M. Sanchez * 16 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
H. Mickelson * 11 4-4 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 9 9 -
R. Stuckey 34 8-12 1-3 3-4 4 8 2 0 3 20 19 -
B. Knight 33 7-13 3-7 2-4 4 7 1 0 3 19 15 -
T. Prince 26 4-8 2-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 10 6 -
B. Young 26 3-9 1-4 5-6 4 2 1 0 2 12 8 -
J. Maxiell 25 6-10 0-0 0-2 7 0 1 1 0 12 11 -
G. Monroe 24 3-4 0-0 5-5 5 0 0 1 2 11 11 -
D. Abron 24 1-4 0-0 0-1 7 0 1 0 1 2 5 -
J. Jerebko 23 4-10 1-4 4-4 6 1 0 1 3 13 8 -
R. Madden 21 1-7 0-3 8-8 1 1 0 2 2 10 5 -
B. Wallace 21 0-1 0-0 2-2 8 2 1 0 0 2 12 -
B. Gordon 19 4-7 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 8 1 -
D. Wilkins 19 3-5 0-0 2-2 1 1 2 1 1 8 7 -
W. Bynum 6 0-2 0-1 2-2 1 1 2 0 1 2 3 -
M. Waithe 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
W. Russell Jr. 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Daye 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
C. Villanueva 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Mitchell 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter