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2011-11-11

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 8.9% 91.1% -
Bradley-Terry 66.8% 33.2% -
Margin 47.2% 52.8% +0.6 (13.4 off)
Pythagorean 48.8% 51.2% -
Efficiency 33.7% 66.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.2% 70.8% -
Log Adjusted 29.2% 70.8% -

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores +14 (78-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Brown 25 2-7 1-5 2-3 2 1 0 0 6 7 -3 -
G. Sim * 29 2-5 0-2 1-2 6 4 1 0 2 5 9 -
O. Ashaolu * 26 3-7 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
E.J. Singler * 23 4-6 2-2 0-0 6 1 0 1 1 10 11 -
T. Woods * 21 5-7 0-0 2-3 4 1 0 1 2 12 9 -
J. Loyd 22 1-3 0-0 0-3 5 8 2 0 3 2 11 -
C. Emory 18 2-5 1-2 0-2 4 0 0 2 3 5 3 -
T. Nared 14 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 2 1 -
B. Kingma 14 4-8 2-6 0-1 0 0 1 0 0 10 3 -
J. Jacob 8 2-2 0-0 1-3 1 0 0 0 2 5 2 -

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Taylor * 32 8-16 0-1 5-7 11 4 5 1 2 21 24 -
J. Jenkins * 32 8-19 7-16 1-2 4 2 2 0 1 24 12 -
L. Goulbourne * 27 2-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 3 2 2 5 9 -
S. Tchiengang * 21 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 1 4 5 -
B. Tinsley * 17 5-7 2-4 1-2 2 3 0 0 0 13 11 -
R. Odom 21 0-4 0-1 3-6 8 2 0 1 0 3 10 -
K. Johnson 17 1-6 0-2 2-2 0 3 0 0 0 4 1 -
K. Fuller 13 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Henderson 11 1-3 0-0 2-4 4 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
D. Parker 9 0-3 0-2 0-2 1 0 1 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter